GPS-verified commodity price analysis from 226 Nigerian markets — powered by 10,000+ verified traders across 37 states.
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January 2026 made history: Nigeria's food inflation fell to 8.89% — the first single-digit reading since May 2015. Over ten years of double-digit food inflation had finally been broken. Here's the complete analysis of what happened and what comes next.
In 2025, Nigerian food inflation made one of the most dramatic reversals in recent economic history — falling from a 39.84% crisis peak in December 2024 to 8.89% food inflation by January 2026. Here is the complete story of what happened, which commodities fell, and what it means for traders, consumers, and businesses.
15 January 2026
October to December 2025 saw beans, garri, onions, and tomatoes fall simultaneously — a rare alignment of harvest supply, logistics improvements, and currency stability that delivered the lowest food inflation Nigeria had seen since 2015.
5 January 2026
February 2026 is the critical test of whether Nigeria's price reversal can survive lean season pressure. Early market data suggests prices are holding, but tomatoes and pepper are showing early signs of upward movement as dry season produce tapers. Full analysis inside.
Official inflation statistics hide a shocking reality: the same commodity can cost 138% more in one Nigerian state than another. This analysis of October 2025 NBS state-level data reveals the full extent of Nigeria's food price geography — and the commercial opportunity it represents.
Brown beans had the most dramatic price story of 2025 — a 43.1% year-on-year collapse from near-record highs. This deep dive examines how beans reached ₦2,798/kg, what caused the collapse, and why the recovery still hasn't made beans affordable in historical terms.
January 2026 made history: Nigeria's food inflation fell to 8.89% — the first single-digit reading since May 2015. Over ten years of double-digit food inflation had finally been broken. Here's the complete analysis of what happened and what comes next.
Rice is Nigeria's most politically sensitive food commodity — and in 2025, it behaved strangely. While beans fell 43% and garri fell 32%, rice barely moved. This deep dive explains why, and what it means for Nigeria's food security strategy.
In 2025, Nigerian food inflation made one of the most dramatic reversals in recent economic history — falling from a 39.84% crisis peak in December 2024 to 8.89% food inflation by January 2026. Here is the complete story of what happened, which commodities fell, and what it means for traders, consumers, and businesses.
October to December 2025 saw beans, garri, onions, and tomatoes fall simultaneously — a rare alignment of harvest supply, logistics improvements, and currency stability that delivered the lowest food inflation Nigeria had seen since 2015.
December 2025 completed the most dramatic food price reversal in Nigeria's recent history. Food inflation fell to 10.84% — exactly 29 percentage points below December 2024's 39.84% peak. Here's the full price data and what it means for Nigerian households entering 2026.
November 2025 brought the deepest commodity price declines of the year. Brown beans fell to ₦1,547.03/kg — a 43.1% year-on-year collapse. White garri reached ₦819.70/kg. Food inflation fell to approximately 11%. The Great Reversal was now undeniable.
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