Nigeria Food Prices December 2025: Food Inflation Falls to 10.84% — 29 Points Below December 2024
December 2025 completed the most dramatic food price reversal in Nigeria's recent history. Food inflation fell to 10.84% — exactly 29 percentage points below December 2024's 39.84% peak. Here's the full price data and what it means for Nigerian households entering 2026.
NaijaMarket Intel Research Team
NaijaMarket Intel
December 2025: End of the Great Reversal's First Phase
December 2025 brought the year to a close with food inflation at its lowest level since the early 2020s. The NBS headline inflation was 15.15%; food inflation was 10.84%.
Compare that to December 2024: 39.84% food inflation.
In twelve months, Nigeria achieved a 29 percentage point reduction in food price pressure. This is extraordinary by any historical standard.
December 2025 National Price Data
| Commodity | December 2025 (est.) | November 2025 | MoM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brown Beans (kg) | ~₦1,480 | ₦1,547 | −4.3% |
| White Garri (kg) | ~₦780 | ₦820 | −4.9% |
| Tomatoes (kg) | ~₦1,180 | ₦1,243 | −5.1% |
| Onions (kg) | ~₦1,260 | ₦1,333 | −5.5% |
| Local Rice (kg) | ~₦1,830 | ₦1,862 | −1.7% |
Note: December NBS official data published January 2026; estimates based on market surveys.
Live Market Survey: December 2025
Abuja (Garki Market) — December 28, 2025:
- Tomato (big basket): ₦5,000–5,500 (was ₦6,000–7,000 in November)
- Shombo pepper: ₦3,000 (was ₦4,500–5,000 in November)
- Local rice (50kg): ₦52,000–57,000
- White garri (50kg): ₦38,000–40,000
Kano (Dawanau Grain Market) — December 26, 2025:
- Foreign rice (50kg): ₦53,000
- Local rice (50kg): ₦63,000 (premium over foreign rice reflects milling cost)
- White beans (50kg): ₦60,000
- Red beans (50kg): ₦52,000
Ebonyi (Abakaliki Market) — December 2025:
- Iron beans (per bag): ₦80,000 (was ₦130,000–150,000 at 2024 peak)
- Patasko beans (per bag): ₦70,000
- Abakaliki rice (25kg): ₦18,000–20,000 (was ₦25,000–40,000 in 2024)
The Abakaliki Story: From ₦40,000 to ₦20,000
The Abakaliki rice data deserves special attention. Abakaliki, Ebonyi State, is one of Nigeria's most important rice-producing regions. In 2024, a 25kg bag of Abakaliki rice had reached ₦25,000–40,000 in local markets — a jaw-dropping price for a commodity grown in the same community.
By December 2025, that same 25kg bag was ₦18,000–20,000 — roughly a 50% reduction from the 2024 peak. This was driven by a combination of improved local planting in 2025, better access to fertiliser, and the overall agricultural supply chain improvements.
Festive Season Dynamics
December is normally a period of price pressure due to:
- Increased demand from festive celebrations (Christmas and New Year)
- Some traders holding stock in anticipation of higher prices
- Slightly reduced market activity in the week between Christmas and New Year
Despite these pressures, December 2025 prices remained subdued — confirming that the supply fundamentals were strong enough to absorb seasonal demand increases without price spikes.
Looking Forward to 2026
December 2025's data sets the base from which 2026 will be measured. The key questions for 2026:
- Will the January–March lean season bring the usual price rises, or will 2025 stocks cushion the increase?
- Will the 2026 planting season be as successful as 2025?
- Can palm oil's structural supply deficit be addressed?
- Will livestock and beef prices — the last holdout of the commodity price reversal — begin to normalise?
Data: NBS CPI December 2025; Nairametrics Abuja/Kano market surveys; Ebonyi agricultural market reports.
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